George "Ras" Rasmussen - Tip #2
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At a recent cribbage tournament, I was privileged to participate
in a discussion with two other players regarding the merits of the
K-6 and Q-9 discard option to the
opponent. One player liked the K-6, the other favored
the Q-9. I should admit that my slight bias is for
On returning home, I dug into the discarding records and discovered
some interesting comparative data. Please note that I have recorded
more than 1,000 discards on each of these options. The K-6
at this point has a slightly lower overall average at 4.150 followed
by the Q-9 at 4.175. It should be recalled that only
the K-10 and a K-9 offer discard
choices which average less than 4.0.
When viewing these discards selections in broadly defined terms,
they look much the same.
||7 or Fewer Points
||8 or More Points
When looking at these two discard options with greater focus. there
are some distinct differences.
* includes three 14 cribs
**No cribs over 12 points
The Q-9 does very well on the ends of this scale.
A zero crib is 65% more likely with the Q-9 while the
K-6 is 175% more likely to tally 12-15 points. In
addition, the Q-9 average is continuing to decline at
a more rapid rate than the K-6. It appears that an
additional 1,000 samples of the Q-9 will result in an
average of approximately 4.087 with the K-6 following
at 4.115. These averages have not stabilized at present levels.
You can be sure that either discard selection is a very good one. It
appears that I need to favor the Q-9. That's hard for
me to do since the last three times I discarded a Q-9,
the cribs were ten, ten and eleven.
- Republished by permission. Text copyright © 2002 by George
Rasmussen. All rights reserved.
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