George "Ras" Rasmussen - Tip #5

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A comparison of these discard options to your own crib provide an interesting and widely unexpected result. The 5-6 averages 6.76, while the 5-K has a lower average of 6.72. These averages are based on recorded discards. The 5-6 has been discarded 486 times and the 5-K has been deposited to my own crib 1,428 times. It should be noted that only the 5-5, 2-3 and the 5-J attain a higher average.

When viewing the 5-6 and 5-K in a broad sense, they are very similar with the 5-6 showing a slight advantage.

  7 or Fewer Points 8 or More Points
5-6 59.87% 40.13%
5-K 61.63% 38.37%

In a more definitive view, some differences do emerge:

5-6

  2 3-7 8-11 12-15 16+
6.76 Avg. 25 286 136 30 9*
486 Discards 5.14% 58.85% 27.99% 6.17% 1.85%

* None over 16 Points

5-K

  2 3-7 8-11 12-15 16+
6.72 Avg. 37 869 426 65 31**
1,428 Discards 2.59% 60.86% 29.83% 4.55% 2.17%

** One of 17 points

How can the 5-6 have a higher average that the 5-K given the above figures? The 5-6 to your own crib provides connecting cards for opponentís discard of 7-K, 7-Q, 7-J, 7-10, 4-K, 4-Q, 4-J and 4-10 and works reasonably well with any x-x discard.

Also, what happens in the 3-7 column and the 8-11 column more than compensates for the 5-6's tendency to produce a larger number of two-point cribs. The 5-K often tallies 4 or 6 points while the 5-6 predominately totals five or seven points. The same advantage appears in the 8-11 range, with the 5-K frequently attaining eight points while the 5-6 is commonly at nine points. Have you noted that the 5-6 is 35% more likely to produce a crib of 12-15 points?

By the way, the 5-6 does even better when compared to the 5-Q or 5-10. Either of these discard choices is excellent. Give the 5-6 greater consideration and you will benefit by that choice. When comparing these two, itís easy to forget that the 5-6 is also worth a minimum of two points in your crib.

- Republished by permission. Text copyright © 2002 by George Rasmussen. All rights reserved.

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