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George "Ras" Rasmussen - Tip #5
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A comparison of these discard options to your own crib provide an
interesting and widely unexpected result. The 5-6
averages 6.76, while the 5-K has a lower average of
6.72. These averages are based on recorded discards. The 5-6
has been discarded 486 times and the 5-K has been
deposited to my own crib 1,428 times. It should be noted that only
the 5-5, 2-3 and the 5-J
attain a higher average.
When viewing the 5-6 and 5-K in a
broad sense, they are very similar with the 5-6
showing a slight advantage.
| |
7 or Fewer Points |
8 or More Points |
| 5-6 |
59.87% |
40.13% |
| 5-K |
61.63% |
38.37% |
In a more definitive view, some differences do emerge:
5-6
| |
2 |
3-7 |
8-11 |
12-15 |
16+ |
| 6.76 Avg. |
25 |
286 |
136 |
30 |
9* |
| 486 Discards |
5.14% |
58.85% |
27.99% |
6.17% |
1.85% |
* None over 16 Points
5-K
| |
2 |
3-7 |
8-11 |
12-15 |
16+ |
| 6.72 Avg. |
37 |
869 |
426 |
65 |
31** |
| 1,428 Discards |
2.59% |
60.86% |
29.83% |
4.55% |
2.17% |
** One of 17 points
How can the 5-6 have a higher average that the
5-K given the above figures? The 5-6
to your own crib provides connecting cards for opponent’s discard of
7-K, 7-Q, 7-J,
7-10, 4-K, 4-Q, 4-J
and 4-10 and works reasonably well with any
x-x discard.
Also, what happens in the 3-7 column and the 8-11 column more than
compensates for the 5-6's tendency to produce a
larger number of two-point cribs. The 5-K often
tallies 4 or 6 points while the
5-6 predominately totals five or seven points. The same
advantage appears in the 8-11 range, with the 5-K
frequently attaining eight points while the 5-6 is
commonly at nine points. Have you noted that the 5-6
is 35% more likely to produce a crib of 12-15 points?
By the way, the 5-6 does even better when compared to
the 5-Q or 5-10. Either of these
discard choices is excellent. Give the 5-6 greater
consideration and you will benefit by that choice. When comparing
these two, it’s easy to forget that the 5-6 is also
worth a minimum of two points in your crib.
- Republished by permission. Text copyright © 2002 by George
Rasmussen. All rights reserved.
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