Tip 1: Discarding 8-8
Tip 2: Toss opponent K-6 or Q-9?
Tip 3: Tossing yourself 4-5 or 7-8
Tip 4: Toss opponent K-10 or K-9?
Tip 5: Toss yourself 5-K or 5-6?
Tip 6: Discarding to your own crib
Tip 7: Discarding to opponent's crib
Tip 8: Leading from 2-x-x-x
Tip 9: Double-Run Hypnosis!!
Tip 10: Small Hand Rule
Cribbage: game of chance or skill?
A comparison of these discard options to your own crib provide an interesting and widely unexpected result. The 5-6 averages 6.76, while the 5-K has a lower average of 6.72. These averages are based on recorded discards. The 5-6 has been discarded 486 times and the 5-K has been deposited to my own crib 1,428 times. It should be noted that only the 5-5, 2-3 and the 5-J attain a higher average.
When viewing the 5-6 and 5-K in a broad sense, they are very similar with the 5-6 showing a slight advantage.
|7 or Fewer Points||8 or More Points|
In a more definitive view, some differences do emerge:
* None over 16 Points
** One of 17 points
How can the 5-6 have a higher average that the 5-K given the above figures? The 5-6 to your own crib provides connecting cards for opponent's discard of 7-K, 7-Q, 7-J, 7-10, 4-K, 4-Q, 4-J and 4-10 and works reasonably well with any x-x discard.
Also, what happens in the 3-7 column and the 8-11 column more than compensates for the 5-6's tendency to produce a larger number of two-point cribs. The 5-K often tallies 4 or 6 points while the 5-6 predominately totals five or seven points. The same advantage appears in the 8-11 range, with the 5-K frequently attaining eight points while the 5-6 is commonly at nine points. Have you noted that the 5-6 is 35% more likely to produce a crib of 12-15 points?
By the way, the 5-6 does even better when compared to the 5-Q or 5-10. Either of these discard choices is excellent. Give the 5-6 greater consideration and you will benefit by that choice. When comparing these two, it's easy to forget that the 5-6 is also worth a minimum of two points in your crib.
- Republished by permission. Text copyright © 2002 by George Rasmussen. All rights reserved.Previous | Next